Abstract

In this study, we established changes in minimum and maximum temperature over the past 20 years, and how these changes are likely to affect the status of key banana pests and black Sigatoka disease in main banana cropping systems. A survey was conducted at elevations of 1200, 1400, 1600 and 1800 m above sea level in 13 sites previously used in 1992/1993. Mean monthly minimum and maximum temperatures at different elevations were computed between 1991 and 2013 and used to determine the temperature change. Data was collected on weevil damage, nematode populations and black Sigatoka severity. Changes in weevil damage, nematode population densities and black Sigatoka severity were determined. Pearson’s correlation analysis was used to establish relationship between minimum and maximum temperature change, changes in weevil damage, black Sigatoka severity and nematode population densities at different elevations. Results show that minimum temperatures in sites above 1400 masl increased by 1°C over the 20 years. Key banana pests and black Sigatoka disease were observed at elevations where they had not occurred before. Change in black Sigatoka disease, Rhadopholus similis, Helicotylenchus multicinctus and Meloidogyne spp. positively correlated with change in both temperature but change in banana weevil’s damages positively correlated with maximum temperature.

Key words: Temperature change, banana weevils, nematodes, black Sigatoka disease.