Journal of
Development and Agricultural Economics

  • Abbreviation: J. Dev. Agric. Econ.
  • Language: English
  • ISSN: 2006-9774
  • DOI: 10.5897/JDAE
  • Start Year: 2009
  • Published Articles: 535

Full Length Research Paper

Economy-wide effects of drought on South African Agriculture: A computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis

Sifiso Ntombela
  • Sifiso Ntombela
  • Department of Public Enterprises, University of Pretoria, South Africa.
  • Google Scholar
Bonani Nyhodo
  • Bonani Nyhodo
  • National Agricultural Marketing Council, South Africa.
  • Google Scholar
Simphiwe Ngqangweni
  • Simphiwe Ngqangweni
  • National Agricultural Marketing Council, South Africa.
  • Google Scholar
Heidi Phahlane
  • Heidi Phahlane
  • Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, South Africa.
  • Google Scholar
Moses Lubinga
  • Moses Lubinga
  • Department of Public Enterprises, University of Pretoria, South Africa.
  • Google Scholar

  •  Received: 24 August 2016
  •  Accepted: 19 October 2016
  •  Published: 31 March 2017


Adams PD (2005). Interpretation of results from CGE models such as GTAP. J. Policy Model. 27:941-959.


Bassanini A, Rasmussen JH, Scarpetta S (1999). The Economic Effects of Employment-Conditional Income Support Schemes for the Low-Paid: An Illustration from a CGE Model Applied to Four OECD Countries. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 224.


Berrittella M, Bigano A, Roson R, Tol RSJ (2004). A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism. FEEM Working Paper No. 127.04.


Bigano A, Bosello F, Roson R, Tol RSJ (2006). Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: A Joint Analysis for Sea Level Rise and Tourism. FEEM Working Paper No.135.2006.


Bohlmann HR (2016). The South African Transport Service Sector: Overview and Base Case Scenario. Report prepared for CSIR. Unpublished.


Bohlmann HR, Van Heerden JH, Dixon PB, Rimmer MT (2015). The Impact of The 2014 Platinum Mining Strike in South Africa: An economy-wide analysis. Econ. Model. 51:403-411


Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP). (2016). Policy Brief on the 2015/2016 Drought. Available online: [Accessed 20 May 2016]


Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries – DAFF and National Agricultural Marketing Council – NAMC (2016). Affected Livestock Numbers Per Province in South Africa. CASP Internal Report, Unpublished.


Dixon PB, Rimmer MT (2002). USAGE-ITC: Theoretical Structure. Centre of Policy Studies, Monash University, Australia 



Henrich J, Boyd R, Bowles S, Camerer C, Fehr E, Gintis H, McElreath R (2004). Overview and synthesis. In: Foundations of human sociality, ed. J. Henrich, R. Boyd, S. Bowles, C. Camerer, E. Fehr, & H. Gintis, Oxford University Press. [GG] pp. 8-54.


Horridge M, Meeraus A, Pearson K, Rutherford TF (2013). Solution Software for Computable General Equilibrium Modeling. Handbook Comput. General Equilibrium Model 1:1331-1381.


Jaafar AH, Al-Amin AB, Siwar C (2011). A CGE Analysis of the Economic Impact of Output Specific Carbon Tax on the Malaysian Economy. Int. J. Environ. Sci. 1(2):151-161.


Kaempfer WH, Ross MT, Rutherford TF (1997). Tariffication of a distorted economy: a CGE analysis. Rev. Dev. Econ. 1(2):207-218.


Liebenberg F (2013). South African Agricultural Production, Productivity and Research Performance in the 20th Century. PhD Thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Development, University of Pretoria, South Africa.


Ntombela SM, Bohlmann HR (2016). Structural Changes in the Agricultural Sector: Construction of Agriculture Focused CGE Database and Analysis. (Forthcoming)


StatsSA (Statistics South Africa) (2015). Quarterly Labour Survey. Available onlive at 

View (Accessed on 10 May 2016