Journal of
Economics and International Finance

  • Abbreviation: J. Econ. Int. Finance
  • Language: English
  • ISSN: 2006-9812
  • DOI: 10.5897/JEIF
  • Start Year: 2009
  • Published Articles: 362

Full Length Research Paper

Does the Zimbabwean exchange rate follow a random walk: January 2000 -December 2008?

Garikai Makuyana*, Simon Munongo and James Zivanomoyo
  Great Zimbabwe University, Faculty of Commerce, Department of Economics, P. O. Box 1235, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.
Email: [email protected]

  •  Accepted: 16 December 2010
  •  Published: 28 February 2011

Abstract

 

The Purchasing Power Parity [PPP] theory says the price of internationally traded goods should roughly be the same anywhere in the world once the price is expressed in a common price. The question however is that does this theory hold in an economy that has experienced long period of high inflation. In this study, monthly data from January 2000 to December 2008 was used. Unit root tests were applied to the Zimbabwean exchange rates. Parallel exchange rate was used rather than the fixed official exchange rate as it reflected the market value of the Zimbabwean dollar against other currencies. In carrying out the unit root tests we used a sequential testing technique that assisted to distinguish series that were trend stationary from those that were difference stationary. Results showed that the Zimbabwean exchange rate do not follow a random walk. This implies that the Zimbabwean exchange rate maintained the long run average hence it obeyed the PPP rule. The prices of commodities in Zimbabwe followed the one real price rule despite the high inflation levels that were obtaining during the period under review.

 

Key words: Purchasing power parity [PPP], unit root tests, random walk.

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