International Journal of
Physical Sciences

  • Abbreviation: Int. J. Phys. Sci.
  • Language: English
  • ISSN: 1992-1950
  • DOI: 10.5897/IJPS
  • Start Year: 2006
  • Published Articles: 2570

Full Length Research Paper

Climate change impacts: Prioritizing mechanism and needs for future Malaysian agriculture

Abul Quasem Al-Amin1*, Walter Leal Filho2, M. A. Kabir1, Mohammad Nurul Azam1, Abdul Hamid Jaafar3 and Fatimah Kari1
  1Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. 2Faculty of Life Sciences, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, Hamburg, Germany, Lohbruegger Kirchstraße 65, Sector S4, Germany and Centre for International Business and Sustainability LMBS,  London Metropolitan University, UK. 3Faculty of Business and Economics, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia.
Email: [email protected], [email protected]

  •  Accepted: 18 February 2011
  •  Published: 04 April 2011

Abstract

 

This paper empirically explored climate change, its related impact on rice agriculture and proper policy- related strategies and mechanism. Our current assessment provided the expected climate change impact based on observational records of inter-annual variability in precipitation and warming climatic factors up to the year 2080. In this study, an analysis of the impact due to climate change and vulnerabilities is performed using Global Circulation Models together with Crop Modelling to represent a range of plausible climate scenarios. The approach used follows a bottom-up strategy, focusing on the vulnerability of Malaysian rice agriculture under various climatic conditions and gives a wide range of potential climate outcomes for rice agriculture in Malaysia. Our projections generated likely future changes and uncertainties on rice production, the potential path for planning strategies and, finally, prioritizing requirements and influences in investment decisions to reduce vulnerabilities. The data is discussed and can be used for climate-related agriculture policies in Malaysia and elsewhere.

 

Key words: Climate change, rice agriculture, long-term scenario analysis, prioritizing mechanism and decision, policy strategy.