Abstract

This study aims to identify factors predicting students’ pathways in a New Zealand polytechnic. Data on 1076 students who enrolled in 2002 in degree programmes in a large polytechnic in the Auckland region were used for this study. A series of regression models were established, the findings suggest that the more papers students take in the first year the more likely they are to complete their Bachelor degree qualifications within three years. Demographic characteristics did not have significant effect on the likelihood for completion. Grade Point Average GPA in the second year was a significant predictor for retention through to the third year but not for the likelihood of completion in the third year. It was suggested that the high level of student engagement with the polytechnic is a possible reason for the high completion rate, particularly among groups of students who are traditionally under-represented in higher education. A significant proportion of tertiary students (30% in 2002) in New Zealand study at polytechnics or institutes of technology (Ministry of Education, 2002a). Hence, a good understanding of student pathways within the polytechnic sector is critical for any intervention aimed at improving educational outcomes within this sector. The current study focuses on students enrolled in degree programmes at a large polytechnic in 2002 and follows their pathways and achievements throughout a period of three years (to the end of 2004). The purpose of this study is to scope the nature and value of data held by a large New Zealand Polytechnic (henceforth: NZP) to assist in evaluating the effectiveness of student pathways and achievements of different groups of students within degree programmes at the NZP. 

Key words: Undergraduate students, polytechnics, vocational training.