Abstract

This study investigated the co-movement in stock indices between Taiwan business group members to find investment arbitrage portfolios. Two investment strategies, called co-integration model and quasi-arbitrage model to arbitrage, were developed and thus allowed excess return in Taiwan capital market to be obtained.Finally, the proposed quasi-arbitrage strategy was compared with the co-integration model to identify which had the higher annual return. The empirical results showed that the co-movement in stock indices between Taiwan business group members did exist. The predicted investment annual return of the quasi-arbitrage model was higher than that of the co-integration model. Therefore, the quasi-arbitrage model was the better investment strategy.

Key words: Conglomerate, business group, co-movement, quasi-arbitrage model, co-integration model.