Full Length Research Paper
Abstract
This study empirically investigates the dynamic relationship between the Turkish stock price and the exchange rates, and also considers the US stock prices as a world market, in the long- and short-run. The study analyzes the period of floating exchange rate in Turkey which spans from 2001:08 to 2009:08 via applying cointegration, Granger causality and impulse response tests. The result from the cointegration reveals that the long run relationship is maintained. Granger causality shows that there are bidirectional relationships between exchange rate and Turkish stock prices. The impulse response results indicate the shocks of Turkish stock price, exchange rates, and US stock price response within a short time; in other words, the shocks are temporary.
Key words: Exchange rate, stock price, vector autoregression (VAR).
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