International Journal of
Fisheries and Aquaculture

  • Abbreviation: Int. J. Fish. Aquac.
  • Language: English
  • ISSN: 2006-9839
  • DOI: 10.5897/IJFA
  • Start Year: 2010
  • Published Articles: 224

Full Length Research Paper

Stochastic modelling of Lake Malawi Engraulicypris sardella (Gunther, 1868) catch fluctuation

Rodgers Makwinja
  • Rodgers Makwinja
  • Department of Physics and Biochemical Sciences, University of Malawi, The Polytechnic, Private Bag 303, Chichiri, Blantyre 3, Malawi.
  • Google Scholar
Wales Singini
  • Wales Singini
  • Department of Fisheries Science, Mzuzu University, Private Bag 201, Mzuzu 2, Malawi.
  • Google Scholar
Emmanuel Kaunda
  • Emmanuel Kaunda
  • Aquaculture and Fisheries Science, Lilongwe University of Agriculture and Natural Resources., Bunda Campus, P. O. Box 219, Lilongwe, Malawi.
  • Google Scholar
Fanuel Kapute
  • Fanuel Kapute
  • Department of Fisheries Science, Mzuzu University, Private Bag 201, Mzuzu 2, Malawi.
  • Google Scholar
Mwamad M’balaka
  • Mwamad M’balaka
  • Monkey Bay Fisheries Research Station, P. O. Box 27, Monkey Bay, Malawi.
  • Google Scholar


  •  Received: 02 September 2017
  •  Accepted: 23 November 2017
  •  Published: 30 April 2018

References

Allison E, Irvine K, Thompson A, Ngatunga B (1996). Diets and food consumption rates of pelagic fish in Lake Malawi, Africa. Freshwater Biol. 35:489-515.
Crossref

 

Bazigos GP (1972). The improvement of the Malawian fisheries Statistical system. A report to the Integrated Project. FAO /MLW /16. Zomba, Malawi.

 

Box G, Jenkins G (1970). Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control. San Francisco: Holden-Day. 

View

 

Box G, Hunter W, Hunter J (1978). Statistics for Experimenters: An Introduction to Design, Data Analysis and Model Building. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley and Sons: 

 

Box G, Jenkins G, Reinsel G, Ljung G (2015). Time series analysis: Forecasting and Control. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons.

 

Chang X, Gao M, Wang Y, Hou X (2012). Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model for precipitation time series. J. Math. Stat. 4(8):500-502.
Crossref

 

Clement E (2014). Using Normalized Bayesian Information Criterion (Bic) to Improve Box - Jenkins Model Building. Am. J. Math. Stat. 4(5):214-221:

View

 

Cochrane H (1997). Time Series for Macroeconomics and Finance. Chicago: Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago,Spring. 

 

Cohen Y, Stone J (1978). Multivariate time series analysis of the Canadian fisheries system in Lake Superior. . Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 44 (Suppl. 2):171-181.
Crossref

 

Czerwinski I, Guti’errez-Estrada J, Hernando-Casal J (2007). Short-term forecasting of halibut CPUE: Linear and non-linear univariate approaches. Fish. Res. 86:120-128.
Crossref

 

Department of Fisheries. (2017). Annual Economic Report 2017 Fisheries Sector Contribution. Lilongwe, Malawi: Department of Fisheries. 

 

Dickey D, Fuller W (1976). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 74(366):427-31.
Crossref

 

Enders W (2004). Applied Econometric Time Series. 2nd ed. New York: Wiley. 

 

GoM (2015). National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan II (2015 –2025). Lilongwe: Environmental Affairs Department. 

 

Hamilton J (1994). Time Series Analysis. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 

 

Hara M, Njaya F (2016). Between a rock and a hard place: the need for and challenges to implementation of Rights Based Fisheries Management in small-scale fisheries of Southern Lake Malawi. Fish. Res. 174:10-18.
Crossref

 

Iles T (1960). Engraulicypris sardella. Joint Fisheries Research Organisation Annual Report, No. 9,. Lusaka: Government Printer. 

 

Kanyerere G, Namoto W, Mponda O (2001). Analysis of Catch and Effort Data for the Fisheries of Nkhata Bay, Lake Malawi, 1976-1999. Lilongwe: Fisheries Bulletin No. 48:Department of Fisheries.

 

Lombardo R, Flaherty J (2000). Modelling Private New Housing Starts In Australia. Pacific-Rim Real Estate Society Conference (pp. 24-27). Sydney: University of Technology Sydney (UTS). 

 

Malthus T (1798). An essay on the principle of poAn essay on the principle of population. Londom: Murray. 

View

 

Minović J (2008). Application and Diagnostic Checking of Univariate and Multivariate GARCH Models in Serbian Financial Market. Econ. Analysis 40(1-2):73-87.

 

Morioka S, Kaunda E (2004). Preliminary examination of the growth of mpasa,Opsaridium microlepis (Günther, 1864) (Teleostomi: Cyprinidae), younger than one year old,collected from Lake Malawi. Afr. Zool. 39(1):13-18.

 

Puertas P, Bodmer R (2004). Hunting effort as a tool for community-based wildlife management in Amazonia. In K. Silvius, R. Bodmer, & J. Fragoso., People in Nature: Wildlife Conservation in South and Central America. Columbia: Columbia University Press. pp. 123-136.
Crossref

 

Schwarz G (1978). Estimating the dimension of a Model. Ann. Stat. 6(2):461-464.
Crossref

 

StataCorp (2015). Stata sStatistical Software: Release14. College Station. TX StataCorp LP.

 

Stoffer D, Dhumway R (2010). Time Series Analysis and its Application 3rd Edn. New Yolk: Springer. 

View